Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.020860 0.022578 0.024370 0.026381 0.028574 0.030896 0.033542
2025-08-31 0.017797 0.020241 0.022933 0.026120 0.029799 0.033921 0.038899
2025-09-07 0.015811 0.018651 0.021905 0.025917 0.030749 0.036400 0.043536
2025-09-14 0.014380 0.017469 0.021123 0.025781 0.031588 0.038623 0.047842
2025-09-21 0.013158 0.016388 0.020313 0.025460 0.032070 0.040325 0.051498
2025-09-28 0.012335 0.015709 0.019910 0.025560 0.033014 0.042585 0.055923
2025-10-05 0.011556 0.015012 0.019411 0.025464 0.033646 0.044420 0.059843
2025-10-12 0.010958 0.014499 0.019099 0.025565 0.034506 0.046561 0.064259
2025-10-19 0.010422 0.014028 0.018800 0.025642 0.035307 0.048629 0.068659
2025-10-26 0.009883 0.013514 0.018403 0.025543 0.035830 0.050308 0.072567
2025-11-02 0.009432 0.013091 0.018100 0.025544 0.036474 0.052166 0.076815
2025-11-09 0.008911 0.012538 0.017580 0.025196 0.036575 0.053215 0.079884
2025-11-16 0.008376 0.011954 0.017006 0.024766 0.036575 0.054179 0.082993
2025-11-23 0.007934 0.011484 0.016575 0.024527 0.036849 0.055577 0.086887
2025-11-30 0.007544 0.011067 0.016197 0.024338 0.037179 0.057063 0.090996
2025-12-07 0.007202 0.010703 0.015875 0.024211 0.037585 0.058674 0.095393
2025-12-14 0.006843 0.010294 0.015460 0.023911 0.037689 0.059791 0.099013
2025-12-21 0.006606 0.010060 0.015302 0.024004 0.038424 0.061964 0.104557
2025-12-28 0.006344 0.009772 0.015042 0.023915 0.038845 0.063626 0.109302
2026-01-04 0.006140 0.009567 0.014902 0.024009 0.039571 0.065834 0.115144
2026-01-11 0.005945 0.009365 0.014755 0.024081 0.040257 0.067999 0.121038
2026-01-18 0.005727 0.009116 0.014520 0.023989 0.040647 0.069657 0.126093
2026-01-25 0.005541 0.008911 0.014346 0.023990 0.041195 0.071619 0.131833